PROBABLY WILL WIN
MO'NIQUE (Precious: Based on the Novel "Push" by Sapphire) - I still haven't seen "Precious," but I guarantee this one is a lock. The rest of the women were are up for this category only because they needed five nominees, but it won't matter. Mo'Nique is the winner. That way it won't be racist when they give the award to Sandy Bullock instead of the little girl from "Precious."
SHOULD WIN
MARION COTILLARD (Public Enemies) - I know she had a little bit of trouble with the accent, but her final scene in the movie is the reason she should have at least been nominated. She was much better in the underrated "Public Enemies" than in the supremely overrated "La Vie en Rose," for which she won last year. And let's be honest, this award usually goes to a pretty girl, and between Cotillard and Mo'Nique she holds a slight advantage.
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