So if you are like me you watch the Super Bowl for the commercials and wait for the Academy Awards to yell at the TV like a mad man in the delusional misconception that those inside the box hear or care about your opinions. Every year when the nominations come out there are some films that should have been adorned with adulation, and some that should have been skipped over completely, but no matter what on the night of the ceremony they rarely get it right. Much like the American Government the method for choosing winners is broken. Lobbying, ads, and grossly uninformed voters usually sway the outcome, much to a layman's outrage. Over the next five weeks I will be listing those that I think will win, and contrasting them with those that I think should win; most times there is just a vast ocean of difference between the two and I usually come pretty close to a stroke watching the undeserved become the victors.BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
PROBABLY GOING TO WIN
THE HURT LOCKER (Mark Boal) - As of writing this I haven't seen this movie. By the end of the week I will have. But for the predictions It doesn't really matter, in fact it probably demonstrates my point better than anything else. The Oscars are politics, and they are almost never about merit. This may be an amazing film, but I think it is going to win out of process of elimination. Out of the nominations it will come down to this and "inglorious Basterds," because no one really saw "A Serious Man," or "The Messenger." "Up" was animated so no one really takes it seriously enough to give it the little golden bald man; nominated yes, win no. Also this film was shut out at the Golden Globes so it will get some "WTF" votes.
SHOULD WIN
A SERIOUS MAN (Coen Brothers) - Out of the whole year this was the most interesting script made. It won't win, not just because it wasn't seen, but because despite the myth that people of the Jewish persuasion run Hollywood this one will be deemed too ethnic (really?) for it to win.
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